Yemen’s Push Into the Gas Sector Fails to Stimulate Great Excitement and Raises Disturbing Questions
Fawzia Sheikh
The infamous Christmas Day bomber’s attempts to blow up a jet approaching Detroit – which Yemen-based al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula claimed responsibility for – has drawn unwanted attention to the country’s vulnerability to terrorist movements.
Dwindling oil and water resources, high poverty and illiteracy, a ballooning population, rebel uprisings and separatist movements have made
Nestled in the southern tip of the Arabian Peninsula,
In recent months, the government has tried to spark foreign interest: A delegation from
Major gas exports, however, are probably not “in the cards” for the Middle Eastern country, but some reserves may be moved within the region by pipeline to
Yemen needs “built-in consumers already lined up” to fuel the gas sector but where such interest will come from remains unclear, said Christopher Boucek, an associate in the Middle East program for the Washington-based Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Boucek cited huge, “unfounded” fears in the
Apart from drying-up oil reservoirs, the government is also contending with a legal process -- and “mechanics on the ground” for exploring, producing and extracting gas -- that are “not very well streamlined,” Boucek noted, adding that Sanaa aims to fix these problems in a bid to court more foreign investors.
Traditionally, however, the country is viewed as a “boutique” market enticing smaller companies to “make their name,” explained Boucek, making it uncertain why larger players would want to bid for these oil blocks. As a selling point,
Concerns about terrorism have also failed to persuade oil giants to take a chance, he maintained. For years, some of the preferred targets of terrorists in the
If the country can offer “attractive terms” to oil companies at a better rate than their neighbors, as well as provide certain security guarantees, “then absolutely we will see investment flowing into
After the attempted bombing in December, the government bolstered security at oil and gas facilities to guard against militant attacks, according to local media reports.
At the end of February, the Pentagon also reportedly approved $150 million in counterterrorism funding to
Yet, Sobhani doubts this kind of international anti-terrorism assistance is enough to stabilize
“It’s an uphill battle because you are looking at a population that is very young,” he said. “You’re looking at an enemy that can pay money to these young kids to join them, whether it’s al Qaeda or your homegrown anti-American types.”
Potential financiers also need to see good governance, which Yemen may now realize, Sobhani added.
Looking to the future,
As it stands,
In the meantime, he warned, “all of
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